Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $5.5 billion for H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.1% [1] - Adjusted net profit reached $156 million, a significant increase of 147% year-on-year, with adjusted EBITDA at $440 million, up 24.2% [1] Financial Data - Revenue: $5.5 billion, up 13.1% year-on-year; Express service revenue: $5.3 billion, up 12.7% [1] - Adjusted net profit: $156 million, up 147% year-on-year; Adjusted EBITDA: $440 million, up 24.2%; Adjusted EBIT: $200 million, up 65.4% [1] Regional Performance - Southeast Asia: H1 volume reached 3.23 billion pieces, up 58% year-on-year, with a market share of 32.8%, up 5.4 percentage points [2] - China: H1 volume reached 10.6 billion pieces, up 20% year-on-year, with a market share of 11.1%, up 0.1 percentage points [2] - New Markets: H1 volume reached 170 million pieces, up 22% year-on-year, with a market share of 6.2%, up 0.1 percentage points [2] Profitability Metrics - Southeast Asia: Single ticket revenue at $0.61, down $0.13; Single ticket EBIT at $0.073, up $0.007 [2] - China: Single ticket revenue at $0.30, down $0.04; Single ticket EBIT at $0.001, down $0.006 [2] - New Markets: Single ticket revenue at $2.18, up $0.04; Single ticket EBIT at -$0.106, improved by $0.059 [2] Investment Recommendations - Profit Forecast: Adjusted net profit predictions for 2025-2027 are $330 million, $590 million, and $830 million respectively [3] - Valuation: Total target market capitalization is estimated at HKD 121 billion, with a target price of HKD 13.49, indicating a potential upside of 30% [3] - Market Outlook: Positive growth expected across all three markets, with Southeast Asia leading due to e-commerce growth, China benefiting from reduced competition, and new markets showing significant potential [3]
极兔速递(01519.HK)：上半年经调整净利润1.56亿美元 同比+147% 持续看好公司三市场发力