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西锐(2507.HK):人群渗透提升 领航高端消费

Industry Overview - The private jet industry has seen an increase in consumer attributes and overall market vitality in recent years, driven by factors such as improved flight infrastructure, the need to update aging aircraft, and the growth of high-net-worth individuals [1] - The demand structure for private jets remains stable, particularly in the U.S., where the market is mature and primarily targets high-net-worth individuals for commuting and travel [1] Company Analysis: Cirrus Aircraft - Cirrus Aircraft has a leading product capability and safety performance, focusing on private users with innovative features like whole aircraft parachutes that address user pain points [1] - The company has a strong brand presence and excellent design capabilities, leading to a significant market share in the piston aircraft segment, where it holds nearly half of the market [1] Future Outlook - Cirrus Aircraft is expected to expand its supply capacity with the upcoming production of the new Fox factory, which will support further market share growth [2] - The company is upgrading its product line with the SR series G7/G7+ and has a robust order book for the Vision series, which is anticipated to enhance product structure [2] - The service segment, which currently accounts for over 14% of revenue, is expected to grow as the company builds its service network, positively impacting revenue and profit margins [2] Investment Recommendation - The long-term competitive landscape of the industry is solid, with Cirrus Aircraft's brand and manufacturing advantages likely to sustain its market share [2] - The company is progressively expanding production capacity and service network, which is expected to accelerate performance in the future [2] - Projected net profits for Cirrus Aircraft are estimated at $170 million, $210 million, and $260 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.0, 11.2, and 9.2 [2]