XIAOMI(HK:01810) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-04 01:31Core Insights - Indonesia's smartphone shipments are projected to decline by 7% year-on-year in Q2 2025 due to weak demand and macroeconomic uncertainties [1] - Samsung and Xiaomi are the only major brands to experience growth, with Samsung's shipments increasing by 20% and Xiaomi's by 10% [1][3] - The entry-level smartphone segment (priced under $150) saw a 3% increase in shipments, while the mid-to-high-end market experienced a significant decline [1][4] Market Dynamics - Samsung's growth is attributed to its comprehensive 5G A-series lineup, strong marketing, trade-in promotions, and attractive installment plans, positioning it as the second-largest player in the market [3] - Xiaomi maintains the largest market share at 21%, bolstered by its offline channel expansion and product diversification, with recent launches in the 15 series and Pocophone F7 series contributing to its growth [3] - OPPO and vivo faced declines in shipments, down 14% and 29% respectively, due to a strategic shift towards higher price segments without new entry-level products [3] 5G and Future Outlook - The share of 5G smartphones in Indonesia reached a record high of 35%, with entry-level models under $150 accounting for 13% of the overall market [4] - Government initiatives, including the construction of 8,500 new 5G base stations, are expected to enhance market conditions [4] - Analysts predict an improvement in macroeconomic confidence and consumer spending in the latter half of 2025, suggesting potential growth for the smartphone market [4]