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固生堂(02273.HK):业绩稳健增长 “国医AI分身+院内制剂”有望打造成长新动能

Core Insights - Company achieved a revenue of 1.495 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.5% and a net profit of 152 million yuan, up 41.6% [1] - The company is expanding its network through self-built and acquired stores, enhancing its physician resources and medical network [2] - The company is accelerating the transformation of in-hospital preparations into innovative traditional Chinese medicine, promoting productization and standardization of healthcare solutions [3] - The launch of ten AI avatars in traditional Chinese medicine aims to enhance service quality and address the shortage of quality medical resources [4] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the traditional Chinese medicine healthcare service sector, with optimistic revenue and profit projections for 2025-2027 [5] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.495 billion yuan, a 9.5% increase year-on-year, with offline medical institution revenue at 1.367 billion yuan, up 11.1% [1] - The adjusted net profit reached 170 million yuan, reflecting a 15.2% increase, while the gross margin improved to 30.6%, up 1.2 percentage points [1] - Operating cash flow was 300 million yuan, a significant increase of 111%, and free cash flow reached 210 million yuan, up 466% [1] Business Expansion - The company added 7 new stores in H1 2025, including 4 self-built and 3 acquired, expanding into 2 new cities [2] - As of H1 2025, the total number of offline stores reached 83, with a growing network in Singapore [2] - The company has established partnerships with 37 medical alliance units, enhancing its collaborative healthcare network [2] Customer Engagement - New customer acquisition reached approximately 453,000, a growth of 7.77%, with total patient visits at 2.747 million, up 15.27% [2] - Membership visit numbers increased to 1.08 million, reflecting a 15.14% growth, while membership revenue reached 620 million yuan, up 6.3% [2] Innovation and Technology - The company reported a 209% increase in revenue from self-priced products, including in-hospital preparations [3] - The successful certification of a hair care product in Singapore marks a significant achievement in the company's product transformation capabilities [3] - The introduction of AI avatars aims to enhance the efficiency and quality of traditional Chinese medicine services, achieving over 86% consistency in expert simulations [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 3.405 billion yuan, 4.014 billion yuan, and 4.826 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected at 406 million yuan, 533 million yuan, and 677 million yuan respectively [5] - The current PE multiples for 2025 are projected at 17.8X, with a "buy" rating maintained based on growth prospects [5]