先声药业(2096.HK):创新药驱动业绩增长 自研新药技术平台厚积薄发

Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated significant growth in its innovative drug business, which remains the core engine for revenue increase, with total revenue reaching 3.585 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.1% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.585 billion yuan, up 15.1% year-on-year [1] - Revenue from innovative drugs was 2.776 billion yuan, reflecting a 26% year-on-year growth, accounting for 77.4% of total revenue [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 651 million yuan, a 21.1% increase year-on-year [1] - R&D investment rate was 28.7%, up 9 percentage points year-on-year, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 10 billion yuan over the past decade [1] Group 2: Business Segments - Revenue from neuroscience reached 1.249 billion yuan, a 37.3% year-on-year increase, indicating a solid market position for the product Xianbixin injection [1] - Revenue from oncology was 874 million yuan, up 41.1% year-on-year, driven by rapid growth of newly launched products such as Kexaila and Enlituzumab [1] - Revenue from autoimmune diseases was 878 million yuan, reflecting a 3.3% year-on-year growth [1] Group 3: Product Pipeline and Innovation - The company has established a "three fives" product strategy, including five cornerstone products that provide stable cash flow and five rapidly growing new products that drive revenue growth [2] - Recent product developments include two products in NDA review: Maduonosawei for influenza and Ledekich for potential IL-4Rα monoclonal antibody replacement [2] - Three innovative products are in Phase III clinical trials, targeting autoimmune diseases and various cancers [2] Group 4: Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.690 billion, 9.009 billion, and 10.427 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 16%, 17%, and 16% respectively [4] - Projected net profit for the same period is 1.193 billion, 1.389 billion, and 1.609 billion yuan, with growth rates of 63%, 16%, and 16% respectively [4]