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高盛:如果美联储信誉受损 金价有可能逼近5000美元

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs suggests that if the credibility of the Federal Reserve is compromised, investors may shift a small portion of U.S. Treasury holdings into gold, potentially driving gold prices up to nearly $5000 per ounce [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Impact - A loss of independence for the Federal Reserve could lead to rising inflation, declining stock and long-term bond prices, and erosion of the dollar's status as a reserve currency [1] - Gold is viewed as a store of value that does not rely on institutional trust, making it an attractive alternative during times of uncertainty [1] Group 2: Gold Price Predictions - The baseline forecast indicates that gold prices could soar to $4000 per ounce by mid-2026 [1] - In a tail risk scenario, gold prices could reach $4500 per ounce [1] - If only 1% of private U.S. Treasury funds were to flow into gold, prices could approach $5000 per ounce [1]