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涨价 停机!国内造纸行业迎来新一轮调价潮

Core Viewpoint - The white card paper industry is experiencing a price increase due to operational pressures and anticipated seasonal demand, following a trend of price declines earlier in the year [1][3][6]. Price Increase Announcement - Six major white card paper companies announced a price increase of 100 yuan/ton effective September 1, 2025, following previous price adjustments earlier in the year [1][2]. - This marks the third price increase notification for white card paper in 2025 [2]. Reasons for Price Increase - The price adjustments are attributed to rising operational costs and a recovery in demand, particularly as the traditional demand season approaches [3][6]. - APP (China) cited the need to maintain normal operations and product quality as a reason for the price hike, while Nine Dragons Paper pointed to improving market demand [3][6]. Market Conditions - The white card paper market has been under pressure, with prices at a low point for the year and theoretical profitability in a negative state [1][6]. - The overall performance of the paper industry has been declining, with only 6 out of 20 listed paper companies reporting profit growth in the first half of 2025 [1][6]. Impact of Corrugated Paper Prices - The increase in white card paper prices is influenced by the rising prices of corrugated paper, which saw significant price hikes in August due to increased raw material costs [4][6]. - The average gross margin for the corrugated paper industry improved slightly in August, indicating a potential positive trend for the overall paper market [4]. Future Outlook - The sustainability of the price increase remains uncertain, as the market is still expanding, and demand recovery is crucial for the success of the price hikes [7]. - Analysts suggest that if demand does not improve, there may be downward pressure on prices, with expectations of a potential decline of 0.15% to 0.53% in average prices for September compared to August [7].