Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 7.519 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, and a net profit of 1.894 billion yuan, up 27.02% [1] - The demand for antibiotics has impacted the main business profits, with intermediate revenue declining by 23.1% to 1.01 billion yuan and raw material drug revenue down 27% to 2.53 billion yuan [1] - The flu incidence rate has returned to pre-public health event levels since 2024, leading to a significant drop in demand for certain raw materials and intermediates starting from H2 2024 [1] Group 2 - The company has validated its innovative R&D capabilities, with a rich pipeline including UBT251, which has been successfully licensed to Novo Nordisk, indicating potential clinical effectiveness [2] - UBT48128 has shown significant weight loss potential in preclinical data, with a projected peak domestic sales of 4.3 billion yuan [2] - UBT37034 has received Phase 1 clinical approval in the U.S. for targeting neuropeptide Y2 receptor in overweight/obesity indications [2] Group 3 - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 at 13.86 billion, 15 billion, and 16.26 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 3.11 billion, 3.1 billion, and 3.38 billion yuan [3] - The company expects stable pricing for antibiotic raw materials and intermediates, supporting a "buy" rating based on the progress of UBT251 and other pipeline projects [3]
联邦制药(03933.HK)：创新研发能力已被验证 代谢管线全面推进