中国财险(2328.HK):综合成本率改善驱动业绩增长 财险龙头地位愈发稳固

Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in the first half of 2025, with insurance service revenue reaching 249 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.6% [1] - Net profit for the first half of 2025 was 24.5 billion yuan, up 32.3% year-on-year, indicating strong core business profitability [1] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.24 yuan per share, reflecting a 15.4% increase compared to the previous year [1] Financial Performance - Insurance service revenue from auto insurance was 150.3 billion yuan, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, while non-auto insurance revenue reached 98.7 billion yuan, growing by 8.8% [1] - The underwriting profit, excluding investment fluctuations, rose significantly by 44.6% to 13 billion yuan [1] - The company's net assets increased by 7.9% from the beginning of the year [1] Cost Management and Risk Reduction - The company improved its combined operating ratio (COR) to 94.8%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, indicating better cost management [2] - The COR for auto insurance improved by 2.2 percentage points to 94.2%, while the COR for non-auto insurance decreased to 88.4% [2] - The company reported a significant reduction in losses from major disasters, with losses of 2.51 billion yuan in the first half, down 38.3% year-on-year [2] Investment Performance - Total investment income reached 17.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.6%, with an annualized total investment return rate of 2.6% [3] - The total investment assets grew by 5.2% to 711.5 billion yuan [3] - The company increased its allocation to equities, with stock holdings rising to 9.2%, focusing on high-dividend blue-chip stocks and sectors related to "new productivity" [3] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the property insurance industry, benefiting from scale and cost advantages [4] - The strong performance in the first half of 2025 is expected to continue, supporting high-quality growth for the full year [4] - The target price for the company's stock is set at 22.2 HKD, representing a potential upside of 22.3% from the current price, with a buy rating maintained [4]