Investment Highlights - The company reported a revenue of 5.66 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.2% [1] - Gross profit reached 1.79 billion yuan, also up by 41.0% [1] - Adjusted profit was 1.09 billion yuan, marking a 42.4% increase, with a significant adjustment item of 560 million yuan from financial liabilities fair value changes [1] - Adjusted core profit stood at 1.14 billion yuan, reflecting a 49.0% growth [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from product equipment sales, franchise management services, and direct store sales were 450 million, 120 million, and 8 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth of 42%, 39%, and 14% [1] - Total GMV for H1 2025 reached 14.1 billion yuan, up 34.4% [1] - Average monthly GMV per store was 228,000 yuan, an increase of 20.6% [1] - Average daily cup sales per store were 439 cups, up 17.4% [1] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin remained stable at 31.5%, with an adjusted profit margin of 19.2%, up by 0.2 percentage points [1] - Sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios changed by -0.02, -0.4, -0.65, and +0.3 percentage points respectively [1] Store Expansion and Market Strategy - The total number of stores at the end of H1 2025 was 11,179, a 17.5% increase, with 1,570 new stores opened, up 105.2% [2] - 305 stores were closed, with the acceleration in store openings attributed to the recovery of the tea beverage market and strategic adjustments in store expansion [2] - The proportion of stores in second-tier cities and below was 81%, up 2 percentage points, while stores in townships accounted for 43%, up 4 percentage points [2] - The number of franchisees reached 5,875, a 22% increase, with an average of 1.9 stores per franchisee [2] Product Development and Membership Growth - A total of 52 new products were launched in H1 2025, including 16 new coffee products [2] - Over 8,000 stores are now equipped with coffee machines, and the company announced Wu Yanzu as the "Coffee Quality Partner" in June [2] - The number of registered members on the mini-program reached approximately 178 million, with about 50 million active members in Q2 [2] Logistics and Supply Chain - The company has established a leading self-owned cold chain storage and logistics system, with 22 warehouses and a cold storage capacity exceeding 61,000 cubic meters [2] - The fleet consists of 362 self-owned transport vehicles, with approximately 75% of stores located within a 150 km radius of warehouses [2] - About 98% of stores can receive cold chain delivery within two days, with delivery costs accounting for less than 1% of GMV [2] Future Outlook - The company expects rapid growth in same-store sales and forecasts net profits of 2.6 billion, 2.5 billion, and 3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 18, 19, and 16 times [2] - Adjusted net profits are projected to be 2.1 billion, 2.6 billion, and 3.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 38%, 22%, and 18% respectively [2]
古茗(01364.HK)半年报点评：25H1收入及业绩端高增 单店GMV增长超20%