Amazon(US:AMZN) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-11 07:04Core Viewpoint - The recent cancellation of the $800 tax exemption for cross-border e-commerce imports in the U.S. has led to significant challenges for the industry, including increased costs and operational complexities [1][3]. Group 1: Impact of Policy Change - The average tariff rate for imported goods has surged from 0% to 25%-30%, affecting key product categories such as electronics and apparel [1][3]. - 25 countries have suspended postal services, forcing sellers to rely on commercial logistics, which has seen shipping costs rise by 30%-50% [3]. - Major platforms like Temu and SHEIN have already raised prices, with Amazon reporting an average price increase of 29% across 930 products, leading to a decline in sales for some sellers by over 20% [3]. Group 2: Challenges for Sellers - The restructuring of logistics channels has created a "no ship" situation for small and medium-sized sellers, as new customs regulations and electronic pre-declaration requirements complicate the shipping process [3][5]. - The average customs clearance time has increased from 5-6 days to 8-9 days, diminishing the time-sensitive advantages previously enjoyed by sellers [3][5]. - Compliance requirements have intensified, with carriers now required to pre-collect tariffs, placing additional burdens on sellers' tax compliance capabilities [5]. Group 3: Advantages of Overseas Warehousing - The value of third-party overseas warehouses has been re-evaluated as a strategic response to the new regulations, offering a way to optimize tariff costs through bulk importation [6][9]. - Goods stored in overseas warehouses can avoid the new small package tariff regulations, significantly reducing overall tax burdens compared to direct shipping [6]. - Sellers utilizing overseas warehouses experience a 60% lower rate of logistics delays compared to those relying on direct shipping methods [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The transition to overseas warehousing is becoming essential for sellers to survive amidst rising costs and regulatory pressures, with those who adapt quickly likely to gain a competitive edge [9]. - The industry is expected to shift from "low-price competition" to "value competition," as companies seek to establish localized supply chains and efficient operational systems [9].