中国光伏最惨两年，仍有公司市值翻倍

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant risks, with a recommendation to expedite the elimination of outdated production capacity due to a stark decline in performance metrics compared to previous years [1] Industry Overview - The revenue of nearly 80 listed photovoltaic companies dropped from 476.01 billion RMB to 414.39 billion RMB year-on-year, marking a doubling of the decline rate, while net losses surged from 1.4 billion RMB to 8.95 billion RMB [1] - The number of loss-making companies increased from 33 to 42, and the industry's gross profit margin fell from 11.3% to 9.4% [1] - The peak performance period for the industry was in mid-2023, with a revenue growth rate close to 60% and a net profit of 70.2 billion RMB, where only 8 companies reported losses [1] Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic equipment sector saw a significant price drop of over 60% from its historical high in August 2022 until early 2024, followed by a recovery of approximately 37% since June 2023 [2] - The largest photovoltaic ETF experienced a 48% decline over three years but rebounded with a 36% increase in the past year, contributing about 35% of its gains since June [2] - Market interest in photovoltaics has been rekindled due to expectations surrounding capacity consolidation and measures to limit low-price bidding, alongside a post-policy-driven "installation rush" leading to unexpected price rebounds [2] Company Performance - Yangguang Electric, the leading global photovoltaic stock, saw its market value rise from around 130 billion RMB to approximately 284.7 billion RMB, achieving a two-year increase of about 110% [3] - The company reported a 40.3% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2024, with a net profit growth of 56% and a gross profit margin of 34.4% [4] - The storage business significantly contributed to Yangguang Electric's growth, with a 127.78% increase in revenue and a gross margin of 39.92% [4] Competitive Landscape - DeYe shares, which also focus on photovoltaic inverters and storage, saw its market value rise from 33 billion RMB to over 67 billion RMB, with a revenue growth rate nearing 50% and net profit growth exceeding 65% [5] - Jiejia Weichuang, a supplier of production equipment for photovoltaic manufacturers, experienced a market value increase from below 15 billion RMB to nearly 35 billion RMB, with a revenue growth of 26.4% [6] - Aishuo shares, which adopted a non-mainstream approach, saw its market value rise from below 14 billion RMB to nearly 30 billion RMB, benefiting from a growing market share in BC products [7] Conclusion - Despite some companies experiencing significant rebounds in market value, many still lack stable performance support, and the industry is not yet at a true turning point [7]