Core Insights - The recent product launches by Apple and Huawei highlight the rise and confidence of China's technology sector, reflecting a shift from a "global division of labor" model to a "self-sustaining" ecosystem [1][2] - The transformation in the industry paradigm is seen as a structural "technology bull market" that supports China's economic transition and upgrade [1][3] Industry Transformation - The "Apple chain" exemplifies a globalized division of labor, while the "Huawei chain" represents a new paradigm focused on self-sufficiency and collaboration [2] - The shift from "efficiency" in the Apple chain to "autonomy" and "coexistence" in the Huawei chain signifies a fundamental change in the value distribution and control within the industry [2][3] Market Dynamics - Huawei regained the top market share in China's smartphone sector for the first time in four years, while Apple's shipments declined by 1.3%, indicating a competitive shift in the market landscape [3] - The focus of investment is transitioning from benefiting from the global efficiency of the Apple chain to betting on the rise of China's technological self-sufficiency [3] Driving Forces - The dual drivers of "technological sovereignty" and "ecological attraction" are identified as the core forces fueling the structural bull market [4][5] - China's R&D expenditure is projected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan in 2024, with a research intensity surpassing the average level of EU countries, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [5] Ecosystem Development - The growth of the HarmonyOS ecosystem, with over 1 billion devices and 6.75 million registered developers, positions it as a significant player in the market, surpassing iOS [5][6] - The collaborative nature of the ecosystem is expected to create exponential value growth for companies involved, moving beyond linear growth models [6] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on capturing the core engines of the "technology bull market" through a systematic approach within the FOF ecosystem [7][8] - Companies like Muxi Technology and Longxin Storage are highlighted as key players in the semiconductor and storage sectors, contributing to national information security and technological independence [7][8] Future Outlook - The transition from the "Apple chain" to the "Huawei chain" signifies a fundamental change in the growth dynamics, value logic, and future landscape of China's technology industry [8] - The emergence of a "technology bull market" is seen as a long-term and profound revaluation of value, requiring patient capital to support the growth of local technology enterprises [8]
从“苹果链”到“华为链” 坤元资产解码中国“科技牛”崛起之路