高盛从未发布上调胜宏科技目标价研报 AI算力“炒作”现分歧

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of AI has significantly boosted the performance and stock price of Shenghong Technology, a leading PCB manufacturer, with expectations for continued growth in the sector [2][4]. Financial Performance - Shenghong Technology reported a net profit of 2.143 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 366.89%, with Q2 revenue reaching 4.719 billion yuan, up 91.51% [2]. - The company's stock price surged from 41.54 yuan at the beginning of the year to 352.49 yuan, marking an increase of over 710% [4]. Market Expectations - Market rumors suggested that Goldman Sachs raised Shenghong Technology's target price from 380 yuan to 895 yuan based on its Q2 performance and AI growth potential, although these rumors were denied by sources close to Goldman Sachs [3]. - The dynamic P/E ratio of Shenghong Technology reached over 103 times, significantly higher than the average of 56.36 times for the Wind electronic components sector [6]. Industry Position - Shenghong Technology ranks sixth globally among PCB suppliers and third among domestic manufacturers in China, with advanced capabilities in high-density interconnect (HDI) technology [4]. - The global HDI market is projected to reach $17.037 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4% from 2024 to 2029, and AI-related HDI boards expected to grow at a CAGR of 20.6% during the same period [6]. Strategic Partnerships - Shenghong Technology is set to become a Tier 1 supplier for NVIDIA by 2025, with over 70% of its orders related to NVIDIA's AI products [5]. - The company has established a strong relationship with NVIDIA, which is expected to drive significant order demand due to the rapid growth in AI server shipments [6]. Capital Operations - The controlling shareholder and executives of Shenghong Technology have engaged in significant share reductions, with plans for a Hong Kong IPO to raise approximately $1 billion for capacity expansion and R&D [7][8]. - The company previously initiated a fundraising plan to invest in production capacity for AI-related HDI products in Vietnam and Thailand, which received regulatory approval [8].