2025年11月29日 证券研究报告| 2025年11月28日 PCB是十问十答 AI算力与终端创新共振，PCB重塑高密度连接格局 行业研究 · 行业专题 电子 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 证券分析师：胡剑 证券分析师：胡慧 证券分析师：叶子 证券分析师：张大为 证券分析师：詹浏洋 证券分析师：李书颖 021-60893306 021-60871321 0755-81982153 021-61761072 010-88005307 0755-81982362 hujian1@guosen.com.cn huhui2@guosen.com.cn yezi3@guosen.com.cn zhangdawei1@guosen.com.cn zhanliuyang@guosen.com.cn lishuying@guosen.com.cn S0980521080001 S0980521080002 S0980522100003 S0980524100002 S0980524060001 S0980524090005 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 AI推动电子创新大周期，PCB开启中期成长趋势 请务 ...

沪深300、中证500、上证50等多个重要指数将调整指数样本。 今日，中证指数网站发布关于沪深300、中证500、中证1000、中证A500等指数定期调整结果的公告称， 日前，中证指数有限公司宣布将 调整沪深300、中证500、中证1000、中证A50、中证A100、中证A500等指数样本，此次调整为指数样本的定期调整，将于12月12日收 市后正式生效。 沪深300指数更换11只样本， 华电新能、东山精密、指南针、胜宏科技等调入指数。 | 调出名单 | | 调入名单 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | | 000800 | 一汽解放 | 002384 | 东山精密 | | 001289 | 龙源电力 | 002625 | 光启技术 | | 002129 | TCL 中环 | 300251 | 光线传媒 | | 002180 | 纳恩达 | 300476 | 胜宏科技 | | 600332 | 白云山 | 300803 | 指南针 | | ୧୦1696 | 潞安环能 | 300866 | 安克创新 | | 601799 | 星宇 ...

中国银河证券指出，中长期看，中美两国头部互联网厂商资本开支预计仍将保持较快增长，Trendforce 在11月6日上修对头部互联网厂商今明两年资本支出的预计，达到2025年4306亿美元（+65%）、2026年 6020亿美元（+40%），支撑未来对算力芯片的需求。国产GPU未来发展空间广阔，产业链国产化替代 进程有望加速。国内存储厂为明年晶圆厂资本支出贡献主要增量，预计将带动半导体设备和材料需求。 截至2025年11月28日 13:05，创业板50指数(399673)上涨0.90%，成分股长盈精密(300115)上涨11.87%， 江波龙(301308)上涨4.47%，信维通信(300136)上涨3.98%，新易盛(300502)上涨3.87%，迈瑞医疗 (300760)上涨3.68%。创50ETF(159681)上涨0.92%，最新价报1.43元。 消息面上，DIGITIMES最新研究报告指出，2025年全球晶圆代工营收可望达1994亿美元，同比增长超 25%，2025~2030年年复合成长率（CAGR）将达14.3%，成为半导体产业景气最重要的推进器。 创50ETF紧密跟踪创业板50指数，创业板50指数 ...

Core Insights - As of November 27, the total market financing balance reached 2.46 trillion yuan, marking an increase of 2.75 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with a continuous rise over three consecutive trading days [1] - The financing balance in the Shanghai market was 1.24 trillion yuan, up by 493 million yuan, while the Shenzhen market saw a balance of 1.20 trillion yuan, increasing by 2.25 billion yuan [1] - A total of 1,781 stocks experienced net financing inflows, with 379 stocks having net inflows exceeding 10 million yuan, and 24 stocks surpassing 100 million yuan in net inflows [1] Individual Stock Highlights - The top stock for net financing inflow on November 27 was Shenghong Technology, with a net inflow of 501 million yuan, followed by Cambrian Technologies and ZTE Corporation with net inflows of 370 million yuan and 286 million yuan, respectively [2] - In terms of industry concentration, the electronics, communications, and power equipment sectors had the highest number of stocks with net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with 9, 4, and 3 stocks respectively [1] Financing Balance Analysis - The average ratio of financing balance to circulating market value for stocks with significant net inflows was 5.17%, with the highest ratio observed in Yintang Zhikong at 11.03% [2] - Other stocks with high financing balance ratios included Cambridge Technology, Yunnan Zhiye, and Huagong Technology, with ratios of 10.19%, 8.88%, and 7.68% respectively [2] Sector Performance - The main board had 9 stocks with significant net inflows, while the ChiNext board had 11, and the Sci-Tech Innovation board had 4 [1] - The performance of individual stocks varied, with some experiencing notable price changes alongside their financing activities, such as Yintang Zhikong with a 10.79% increase and Shenghong Technology with a slight increase of 0.06% [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive growth trend in industrial enterprise profits for the first ten months of 2025, with a total profit of CNY 59,502.9 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [5][6] - The report emphasizes the impact of raw material prices on the profitability of industrial enterprises, indicating that these prices remain a significant drag on earnings [5][6] - A new consumption promotion plan issued by six ministries aims to optimize the supply structure of consumer goods by 2027, creating three trillion-level consumption sectors and ten hundred-billion-level consumption hotspots [8][9] Macroeconomic Overview - Industrial enterprises maintained a year-on-year profit growth, although the growth rate slowed by 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous three quarters [5] - In October, industrial profits saw a year-on-year decline of 5.5%, with a month-on-month drop of 27.1 percentage points [5] - The report notes that the mining sector's contribution to profits has been consistently low this year [5] Revenue and Cost Analysis - For the first ten months, industrial enterprises reported a revenue growth of 1.8%, with a slight decrease in revenue per hundred yuan of assets to CNY 74.5 [6] - Operating costs increased by 2.0%, with the profit margin remaining stable at 5.3% [6] - The report indicates that industrial production activities remain active, but pricing pressures persist, with PPI and production material PPI showing negative year-on-year growth [6][7] Consumption Promotion Plan - The plan aims for a significant optimization of the consumer goods supply structure by 2027, with a focus on new technologies and innovative business models [8][9] - It emphasizes the importance of matching supply with diverse consumer needs, including specific demographics such as children, students, and the elderly [10] - The report outlines the creation of new consumption scenarios and business formats, supported by a favorable development environment [11] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies related to employment, tourism, and cultural consumption, as well as those involved in sports events and creative industries [12]

个股方面，11月27日，有1782只个股获融资净买入，净买入金额在3000万元以上的有124股。其中，24 股获融资净买入额超1亿元。胜宏科技获融资净买入额居首，净买入5.01亿元；融资净买入金额居前的 还有寒武纪、中兴通讯、香农芯创、药明康德、芯原股份、剑桥科技、汉得信息、鹏辉能源等股。 Wind统计显示，11月27日，申万31个一级行业中有14个行业获融资净买入，其中，电子行业获融资净 买入额居首，当日净买入27.14亿元；获融资净买入居前的行业还有通信、机械设备、传媒、食品饮 料、轻工制造等。 （文章来源：证券时报网） ...

格隆汇11月28日｜Wind数据显示，A股11月27日共有3735只个股获融资资金买入，有325股买入金额超 亿元。其中，中际旭创、新易盛、胜宏科技融资买入金额排名前三，分别获买入44.28亿元、34.97亿 元、20.77亿元。 从融资买入额占当日总成交金额比重来看，有4只个股融资买入额占比超30%。其中积 成电子、通灵股份、物产中大融资买入额占成交额比重排名前三，分别为35.54%、31.53%、30.87%。 从融资净买入金额来看，有24只个股获融资净买入超亿元。其中，胜宏科技、寒武纪-U、中兴通讯融 资净买入金额排名前三，分别获净买入5.01亿元、3.7亿元、2.86亿元。 ...

Group 1 - On November 27, a total of 3,735 A-shares received financing funds, with 325 stocks having a buying amount exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - The top three stocks by financing buying amount were Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Shenghong Technology, with amounts of 4.428 billion yuan, 3.497 billion yuan, and 2.077 billion yuan respectively [1] - Four stocks had financing buying amounts accounting for over 30% of the total transaction amount, with Jicheng Electronics, Tongling Shares, and Wuchan Zhongda leading at 35.54%, 31.53%, and 30.87% respectively [1] Group 2 - There were 24 stocks with a net financing buying amount exceeding 100 million yuan, with Shenghong Technology, Hanwujishi-U, and ZTE Corporation ranking the highest at 501 million yuan, 370 million yuan, and 286 million yuan respectively [1]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights Shenghong Technology (300476.SZ) as a leading global AI PCB manufacturer, emphasizing its deep engagement with top GPU and ASIC clients [15][16][18] - The company has achieved significant advancements in HDI technology, being one of the first to mass-produce 6-layer 24-layer HDI products and is actively developing next-generation 10-layer 30-layer HDI technology [16] - Shenghong Technology is expanding its production capacity both domestically and internationally, with ongoing projects in Thailand and Vietnam, and is enhancing its collaboration with major clients to align with their R&D and production schedules [17] Group 2: Financial Projections - The revenue forecast for Shenghong Technology is projected to reach 370 billion and 599 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027, respectively, with expected net profits of 120 billion and 197 billion yuan [18] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing value of PCBs in AI servers, which will further strengthen its competitive position in the market [16][18] Group 3: Industry Context - The report notes that the AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, with significant investments from major players like Google, which has increased its capital expenditure guidance for the year [15] - The demand for advanced PCB technology is rising in line with the growth of AI applications, positioning Shenghong Technology favorably within this expanding market [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - The event "Investing in New Opportunities in China" organized by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in Australia showcased six representative listed companies from Shenzhen, focusing on green low-carbon and high-end manufacturing sectors, attracting significant interest from Australian investment institutions [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event took place on November 26 and featured six companies: Tianqi Lithium, Goldwind Technology, Xinwanda, Magpow, Shenghong Technology, and Luxshare Precision [1] - Nearly 70 representatives from major Australian pension funds and well-known asset management companies attended the roadshow [1] Group 2: Investor Insights - Attendees expressed that face-to-face communication with company executives provided a clearer understanding of the companies' operational status, strategic layout, technological innovation, and international competitiveness [1] - There is a positive outlook on the long-term development prospects and investment value of Shenzhen-listed companies amid a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation [1]