Bank of America(US:BAC) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-16 11:50Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the stock market remains bullish as expectations for economic growth have significantly improved, with global stock markets likely to rise further [1] - A recent Bank of America survey indicates that 28% of global fund managers are overweight on stocks, the highest level in seven months [1] - The perception of economic growth has seen the most significant improvement in nearly a year, with only 16% of investors believing the economy will weaken [1] Group 2 - The report highlights that the risks of a "recessionary trade war" are diminishing, contributing to a bullish market sentiment [1] - The MSCI All-Country World Index has reached an all-time high, driven by renewed investment enthusiasm in artificial intelligence and stronger tech stocks [1] - Nearly half of the survey respondents expect the Federal Reserve to implement four or more rate cuts in the next 12 months [1] Group 3 - Approximately 26% of respondents view a "second round of inflation" as the biggest tail risk, while 24% are concerned about the weakening independence of the Federal Reserve and dollar depreciation [2] - The survey conducted from September 5 to 11 included 165 respondents managing a total of $426 billion in assets [2] - Key findings include a cash holding rate of 3.9% for the third consecutive month and a net 15% of investors adopting a "below normal" risk strategy, an improvement from 19% in August [2] Group 4 - About 39% of respondents want companies to increase capital expenditures, the highest since December of the previous year, while only 27% prefer companies to focus on balance sheet optimization, the lowest since February 2022 [2] - The most crowded trades include going long on the "seven tech giants" (42%), going long on gold (25%), shorting the dollar (14%), and going long on cryptocurrencies (9%) [2]