SINO BIOPHARM(HK:01177) Ge Long Hui·2025-09-17 04:01Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's research report indicates that China National Pharmaceutical Group's innovative drug sales are progressing as expected, with an upward revision of the three-year product launch plan, projecting a total of 21, 26, and over 35 innovative products by 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 1: Product Launch and Projections - The main change for China National Pharmaceutical Group is the addition of three new drugs in 2027: TQC3721 (PDE3/4), LM-302 (Claudin 18.2 ADC), and TQC2731 (TSLP mAb) [1] - The company anticipates that the licensing deal for TQC3721 (PDE3/4 inhibitor) will be completed within 2025, as it is currently revising terms with potential partners [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - Daiwa maintains a "Buy" rating for China National Pharmaceutical Group, raising the target price from HKD 5.6 to HKD 10 based on discounted cash flow [1] - Revenue forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 1% to 6%, with earnings per share estimates raised by 56% to 106%, reflecting the upward revision in innovative drug sales and other income projections due to expected continued dividend income from Sinovac Biotech [1]