HEICO (US:HEI) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-19 09:16Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs held an investor meeting with HEI, highlighting that factors such as the aerospace aftermarket, market share growth, profit margins, and mergers and acquisitions will drive the company's stock price. Goldman maintains a "Buy" rating with a 12-month target price of $382, representing approximately a 19% upside from the recent closing price of $321.74 [1] Group 1: Capital Deployment - HEI is actively assessing merger and acquisition opportunities, focusing on core commercial aviation and defense businesses, with a net debt/EBITDA ratio of approximately 2.0x, providing ample capacity for acquisitions [2] Group 2: Aerospace Aftermarket - HEI has not observed a slowdown in the commercial aftermarket due to fleet aging, limited new aircraft supply, and sustained flight demand. The company anticipates that aftermarket growth will gradually normalize to about 2x GDP/ASK in the long term, rather than the current 14-15% level [3] Group 3: PMA (Parts Manufacturer Approval) - HEI sells PMA parts at a discount equivalent to 70% of OEM parts pricing, with potential discounts expanding to 50-60% as OEM prices rise. The PMA business is mature in commercial aviation but still in early stages in defense, with opportunities comparable to adding 1-2 large airline customers [4] Group 4: Wencor Integration - HEI continues to realize synergies from the acquisition of Wencor, finding that maintaining Wencor's relative independence allows for significant cross-selling and MRO synergies. This integration is driving higher FSG profit margins due to increased sales of PMA parts [5] Group 5: Profit Margins by Division - HEI reaffirms that FSG's EBIT margin is expected to be around 24% in the medium term, with potential for further upside. Recent margin improvements are attributed to higher defense business volume and PMA-friendly operations. In ETG, margins remain below pre-pandemic levels but are expected to expand in the future [6][7]