Core Viewpoint - The ongoing "pre-made dish war" in the restaurant industry has intensified, with the company 九毛九 (09922.HK) facing significant challenges, including declining stock prices and poor financial performance, leading to a strategic shift towards pre-made dishes and international expansion [1][10]. Company Performance - 九毛九's stock price has dropped significantly from a peak of 37.8 HKD per share in early 2021 to 2.18 HKD per share by September 2025, resulting in a market capitalization decline from nearly 550 billion HKD to 30 billion HKD, a loss of over 520 billion HKD (approximately 480 billion RMB) or 94% [2][3]. - The company's revenue and net profit both decreased in the first half of 2025, with revenue at 2.753 billion RMB, down 10.1% year-on-year, and net profit at 61 million RMB, down 16.05% [3][5]. Brand Performance - The core brand 太二酸菜鱼 experienced a revenue decline of 13.3% in the first half of 2025, generating 1.949 billion RMB, with the number of stores reducing from 612 to 547, marking the first significant closure of stores since its listing in 2019 [5][6]. - The other two main brands, 怂火锅 and 九毛九 (西北菜), also reported poor performance, with revenues of 417 million RMB (down 3.5%) and 226 million RMB (down 22.6%) respectively [5]. Market Challenges - The restaurant industry is facing a brutal price war, with many companies reporting disappointing financial results. The overall market is experiencing a significant increase in closures, with 4.09 million restaurants closed in 2024, a closure rate of 61.2% [11][12]. - Despite the challenges, some companies in the beverage sector have shown strong performance, indicating a potential shift in consumer preferences and market dynamics [11]. Strategic Shifts - In response to declining performance, 九毛九 is implementing a comprehensive overhaul of the 太二酸菜鱼 brand, introducing a new "fresh live model" and expanding its international presence, with new stores opened in countries like Singapore, Malaysia, and Canada [9][10]. - The company has also begun selling pre-made 太二酸菜鱼 products through channels like Sam's Club, with revenue from product sales increasing by 140% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [9].
山姆上架太二酸菜鱼预制菜，九毛九4年市值蒸发480亿