卓创资讯：本周期内原油变化率由负转正，本轮成品油零售限价或遇搁浅

Core Viewpoint - Despite concerns over oversupply and weak demand leading to a decline in oil prices, geopolitical risks persist and market fears of future resource supply reductions have caused international oil prices to rise intermittently [1] Group 1: Oil Price Trends - The change rate of crude oil shifted from negative to positive, reaching 0.59% as of September 19, indicating a potential adjustment in oil pricing [1] - An expected increase of 25 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel prices is anticipated, with the adjustment window set for September 9 at 24:00 [1] Group 2: Retail Price Adjustments - Current calculations suggest that the final retail price adjustment for refined oil may not reach the necessary condition of a 50 yuan per ton increase, indicating a possible stalling of this round of retail price adjustments [1]