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华创证券:维持达势股份“推荐”评级 目标价109.08港元

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huachuang Securities highlights the resilience of Dashi Co., Ltd.'s store model under pressure, projecting rapid profit growth in the coming years, with adjusted net profits expected to reach 1.41/2.47/3.45 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.0% [1] - Operating profit for the same period was 380 million yuan, up 28.0% year-on-year, while adjusted EBITDA reached 320 million yuan, reflecting a 38.3% increase [1] - Adjusted net profit for the first half was 90 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 79.6% [1] Group 2: Store Expansion Strategy - The company estimates that there are approximately 40,000 pizza stores in the Chinese market, with the number of stores continuing to grow annually [2] - As of mid-2025, the company operates 1,198 stores across 48 cities, which is significantly lower than competitors like Pizza Hut [2] - The company plans to open around 300 new stores by 2025, balancing between existing markets and new city expansions [2] Group 3: Store Performance and Resilience - Same-store sales experienced a slight decline of 1.0%, but the company demonstrated strong brand power, achieving high initial sales in newly entered cities [3] - The average payback period for the 64 stores opened in 15 new cities since December 2024 is estimated at only 11 months, indicating strong competitiveness [3] Group 4: Operational Efficiency and Profit Growth - The management has focused on long-term development, resulting in a decrease in headquarters cost ratios, with human resource costs now at 5.1% of revenue [4] - The adjusted net profit margin increased to 3.5% year-on-year, benefiting from economies of scale as the company continues to expand its store network [4] - Future net profit growth is expected to outpace revenue growth due to ongoing store expansion and rising income [4]