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14.56亿元豪赌锂矿,盛新锂能5年布局即将“修成正果”,溢价388%买矿值不值?

Core Viewpoint - Shengxin Lithium Energy Group Co., Ltd. is making a significant investment by acquiring a 21% stake in Qicheng Mining for 1.456 billion yuan, which will allow it to indirectly control the Muro Lithium Mine, marking a milestone in its mining business [2][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition will increase Shengxin Lithium's stake in Qicheng Mining to 70%, thereby enhancing its control over Huirong Mining, which holds the mining rights to the Muro Lithium Mine [4]. - The Muro Lithium Mine is recognized as the largest known spodumene-type lithium mine in Asia, with an annual mining capacity of 3 million tons, translating to approximately 75,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, which is about 9% of China's lithium demand last year [2][5]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The transaction reflects a net asset appreciation rate of 388.77%, with the total equity value of Qicheng Mining assessed at 6.934 billion yuan, significantly higher than its book value of 1.419 billion yuan [5]. - Shengxin Lithium's cash flow may face pressure due to the high transaction amount, which is nearly half of its cash reserves of 3.085 billion yuan as of June 2025 [8]. Group 3: Mining Project Overview - The Muro Lithium Mine has received a mining license and is currently in the construction phase, with a projected fixed asset investment of 4.167 billion yuan and additional costs for intangible assets and working capital [6][9]. - The mine is expected to achieve an annual production of 713,400 tons of lithium concentrate and 300 tons of tantalum-niobium concentrate under normal operating conditions by 2030 [6]. Group 4: Market Context - Despite fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices, mining resources remain valuable, leading to significant investments in the sector, particularly in Sichuan Province, where several high-value mining rights have been auctioned [3]. - The market price for lithium concentrate is projected to range between 62,000 yuan and 85,000 yuan per ton in 2026, with a breakeven point for spodumene mines estimated at around 65,000 yuan per ton [9].