“关门”倒计时3天！民主党誓死不退，美国这回真要停摆？

Group 1 - The risk of a government shutdown in the U.S. has surged to 76%, with potential economic growth impact of 0.15% per week of shutdown, totaling 0.45% for three weeks [1] - Approximately 4 million middle-class families may face additional monthly healthcare costs of $200-$500 if subsidies from the Affordable Care Act are cut off [1] - Low-income groups could see emergency room out-of-pocket costs rise by 40% and reimbursement for chronic illness medications halved due to proposed cuts [1] Group 2 - Key economic indicators such as the non-farm payroll report and CPI data will be unavailable due to the government shutdown, creating a data vacuum for the markets [3] - Historical data shows that a previous 51-day data blackout led to a 3% drop in the S&P 500 and significant liquidity issues in the bond market [3] Group 3 - The 2018-2019 shutdown saw 420,000 federal employees working without pay and 380,000 on forced leave, leading to significant disruptions in services like tax processing and passport issuance [5] - The current situation mirrors past shutdowns, with potential delays in tax refunds and public services [5] Group 4 - The budget dispute is a political struggle between parties, with a temporary funding bill passed under strict conditions that have been criticized as politically motivated [7] - The Senate Democrats hold significant power to block any legislation, intensifying the political standoff [8] Group 5 - Since 1976, the U.S. has experienced 21 shutdowns, resulting in over $22 billion in economic losses [10] - The national debt continues to grow at an alarming rate of $10 billion per day, highlighting the disconnect between political actions and fiscal responsibility [10]