CATL(SZ:300750) 3 6 Ke·2025-09-30 00:47Core Insights - CATL's stock price reached a historical peak with a market capitalization of 1.92 trillion yuan, but subsequently experienced a decline, raising concerns about its ability to maintain this valuation [1][3][4] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Capitalization - On September 25, 2025, CATL's stock price hit 399 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 1.92 trillion yuan, marking a 30% increase [1] - Following a 3.17% drop the next day, the stock price fell to 380.4 yuan per share, bringing the market cap down to 1.74 trillion yuan, below Kweichow Moutai [1][4] - By September 29, 2025, CATL's stock price rebounded to 397.37 yuan per share [1] Group 2: Business Performance and Financials - CATL maintained its leading position in the global power battery market, with a market share of 37.9% as of 2025, although it slightly decreased from 38.1% at the beginning of the year [9] - In Q3 2024, CATL reported a net profit of 13.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.97%, driven by new products and technology premiums despite revenue pressures from declining battery sales [4][12] - For the first half of 2025, CATL's total revenue was 178.886 billion yuan, a 7.27% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 30.485 billion yuan, reflecting a 33.33% growth [12][15] Group 3: Industry Trends and Competitive Landscape - The Chinese government issued guidelines to prevent excessive competition in the lithium battery industry, promoting a shift from price wars to value-based competition [5] - CATL faces increasing competition from domestic players like BYD and other second-tier companies, leading to a decline in its domestic market share, which fell to 41.7% by Q3 2025 [9][10] - The global battery market is evolving towards a more competitive landscape, with CATL needing to maintain its market share to sustain its high valuation [8][9] Group 4: Technological Advancements and R&D - CATL's ongoing investment in R&D, with expenditures reaching 10.095 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge [15] - The company is focusing on new technologies such as sodium-ion batteries and solid-state batteries, which are essential for future growth and market share retention [15][16] - The introduction of new products like the "Shenxing Pro" lithium iron phosphate battery is aimed at expanding CATL's presence in the European market [7]