TENCENT(HK:00700) Ge Long Hui·2025-09-30 19:47Core Viewpoint - Tencent's stock price is currently facing resistance at 665 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "sell" recommendation, while the support level is at 638 HKD [1][2]. Technical Analysis - Key support levels for Tencent are at 638 HKD and 617 HKD, while initial resistance is at 678 HKD, with a potential challenge at 692 HKD if the initial resistance is broken [2]. - The stock price is above the 10-day moving average (647 HKD) and significantly higher than the 30-day and 60-day moving averages, indicating a favorable short to medium-term trend [2]. - The RSI indicator is at 67, suggesting the stock may be in a strong zone but not yet overbought [2]. - Various oscillators show mixed signals, with the Williams indicator indicating overbought conditions but neutral, while the stochastic oscillator gives a buy signal, and MACD maintains a buy signal [2]. Leverage Products Performance - On September 25, market data showed significant performance in leveraged products, with HSBC call warrants (18949) rising by 13% and UBS bull certificates (56416) increasing by 29% over two days [4]. - Another UBS bull certificate (56153) saw a substantial rise of 34% in the same period, indicating that leveraged products can provide returns significantly higher than the underlying stock during volatility [4]. Investment Options - For investors optimistic about Tencent's short-term breakout, options include slightly out-of-the-money call warrants with lower implied volatility, such as the Guotai Junan call warrant (19049) offering approximately 10.2x leverage [7]. - UBS call warrant (18902) also presents a favorable option with 9.1x leverage and relatively low implied volatility [7]. - For bearish investors, there are put warrants available, such as the Bank of China put warrant (20518) and UBS put warrant (15152), both offering around 8x leverage with favorable pricing [7]. Bull and Bear Certificates - Investors expecting Tencent to consolidate within the 635-700 HKD range may consider related products, such as UBS bull certificate (63073) or HSBC bull certificate (61968), with redemption prices at 635 HKD and 636 HKD, respectively, offering approximately 18x leverage [9]. - For those with a bearish outlook, UBS bear certificate (66241) and JPMorgan bear certificate (66094) are available, both with redemption prices set at 700 HKD [9].