Core Viewpoint - CICC expects Tongguan Gold (00340) to achieve EPS of HKD 0.16 and HKD 0.23 for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with a CAGR of 121% from 2024 to 2026, indicating strong growth potential [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company emphasizes the strategic importance of exploration and resource expansion, holding a total gold resource of 55.0 tons with an average grade of 8.26 grams per ton [2] - Tongguan Gold's production is expected to increase, with projected gold sales of 2.8 tons and 3.4 tons for 2025 and 2026 respectively [2] - The acquisition of Xi'an Hongshang, a mining engineering supplier, is anticipated to lower production costs through industry chain integration [2] Group 2: Strategic Investments - Zijin Mining's strategic investment includes acquiring 3.82% of the company through its wholly-owned subsidiary, reflecting confidence in the company's asset quality and strategic direction [3] - The collaboration on metal streams is expected to enhance the company's cash flow and growth potential for future acquisitions [3] Group 3: Market Conditions - The decline in real interest rates and the trend of central bank gold purchases are expected to support rising gold prices [4] - The anticipated continuation of gold purchases by the People's Bank of China is likely to replicate previous successful operations, further supporting gold price increases [4] - Potential catalysts for growth include sustained increases in gold prices and successful transitions in mining operations at Tongguan [4]
中金：首予潼关黄金“跑赢行业”评级 目标价3.52港元