Core Viewpoint - Citigroup's report indicates that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) is expected to announce its Q3 2025 results on November 5, forecasting a net profit of HKD 4.8 billion, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8% and a year-on-year increase of 52% driven by strong performance in the Hong Kong market and northbound trading volumes [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue is projected to increase by 6% quarter-on-quarter and 43% year-on-year to HKD 7.7 billion, benefiting from growth in trading and clearing fees [1] - Investment income is expected to decline by 37% quarter-on-quarter due to high base effects, a reduction in Hong Kong margin trading scale, and a decrease in investment yield [1] Market Activity - The number of active IPO applications has risen from 207 in June to 297 in September, indicating a robust IPO pipeline [1] Earnings Forecast - Based on revised daily average transaction value forecasts for the Hong Kong market of HKD 250 billion, HKD 245 billion, and HKD 264 billion for 2025 to 2027, Citigroup has raised its earnings per share forecasts for HKEX by 2% to 5% for the same period [1] - The target price for HKEX has been increased from HKD 500 to HKD 510, reflecting strong trading activity and a solid IPO pipeline [1]
大行评级丨花旗:上调港交所目标价至510港元 预测第三季净利润按年增52%