Core Insights - The luxury car market is undergoing significant changes, with BBA (BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Audi) showing a divergence in performance: BMW is leading, Mercedes-Benz is under pressure, and Audi is catching up [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - BMW is the only company among BBA to achieve positive sales growth, with global deliveries reaching 588,300 units in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 8.8%, and a total of 1,795,900 units for the first three quarters, up 2.4% [1] - Mercedes-Benz's Q3 global sales were 525,300 units, down 12% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter, with a total of 1,601,600 units for the first three quarters, a decrease of 9% [1] - Audi's Q3 global sales were 397,100 units, a year-on-year decline of 2.5%, with total sales for the first three quarters at 1,191,100 units, down 4.8% [1] Group 2: Market Challenges in China - BMW's sales in China fell by 0.4% in Q3 to 147,100 units, with a cumulative decline of 11.2% to 464,900 units for the first three quarters, making China the only market where BMW experienced a downturn [3] - Mercedes-Benz faced a significant drop in China, with Q3 deliveries plummeting 27% to 125,000 units and a total decline of 18% to 418,000 units for the first three quarters, marking China as its largest market decline [5] - Audi's sales in China showed signs of recovery, with its joint venture reporting a 13.5% increase in sales for the first three quarters [5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The market share of German brands has decreased from 18.4% in January 2025 to 14.3% in September 2025, indicating increased competition from local brands [5] - In the 200,000 to 300,000 yuan price range, local brands are challenging BBA's entry-level models, while in the higher price segments, brands like NIO and Li Auto are competing for core customers [6] Group 4: Profit Outlook - Due to the impact of the Chinese market, BMW revised its full-year profit forecast, now expecting a pre-tax profit "slightly lower" than last year's 10.97 billion euros (approximately 90.98 billion yuan) [6] Group 5: Electrification Strategies - BMW leads in electrification, with 323,000 electric vehicle deliveries in the first three quarters, a 10% increase [8] - Mercedes-Benz is launching a major product offensive in the electric vehicle sector, with plans to introduce at least 40 new models by the end of 2027 [9] - Audi is adjusting its electrification strategy, focusing on a balanced approach between long-term electric goals and flexible product offerings [11]
BBA失守中国市场,奔驰三季度交付量大跌27%