Core Insights - Morgan Stanley's analyst Adam Jonas is advocating for a shift in investment focus towards a new trillion-dollar opportunity he calls the "extraterrestrial economy," driven by Physical AI, which includes flying cars, humanoid robots, and brain-machine interfaces [1][2] - Jonas predicts that by 2045, the "extraterrestrial economy" could exceed the current global economic total of approximately $110 trillion, with the low-altitude transportation market alone projected to generate over $4 trillion in annual revenue by 2040 [1][3] Group 1: Transition to Physical AI - Jonas has transitioned from being an automotive analyst to a global strategist for Physical AI, defining it as anything capable of moving, navigating, and manipulating three-dimensional space [2] - He emphasizes that discussing a world without Physical AI is akin to discussing a world without electricity, indicating its fundamental importance to future civilization [2] Group 2: Market Potential and Observations - Jonas highlights the inefficiency of current space utilization, noting that at any given time, the number of people in the air globally is comparable to the population of a single city, suggesting vast potential for low-altitude transportation [3] - He forecasts that electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft will soon transport paying passengers in urban airspace, marking the beginning of a new era in low-altitude transportation [3] Group 3: Historical Context and Market Reception - Jonas recalls past skepticism regarding his predictions for Tesla and SpaceX, which were initially met with doubt but later validated by market performance [4] - He believes that history is repeating itself, as some clients are beginning to construct trading strategies based on his long-term vision, despite a focus on short-term earnings by others [4][5] Group 4: Supporting Developments - Recent advancements in the industry support Jonas's theories, with companies like Joby Aviation and Archer Aviation expected to receive federal certification for commercial passenger flights next year [5] - In robotics, companies such as Tesla, Apptronik, and XPeng are releasing advanced humanoid robots with plans for commercialization, while autonomous taxi services from Waymo and Tesla are expanding in more U.S. cities [5]
大摩特斯拉死多头Jonas画出“地外经济”大饼:到2045年规模将超110万亿美元