华源证券:蜜雪集团收购福鹿家53%股权 维持“买入”评级

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huayuan Securities expresses optimism about Mixue Group's (02097) domestic and overseas market channel expansion, maintaining a "buy" rating. The company is expected to continue increasing its market share [1] Financial Projections - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for Mixue Group for the years 2025-2027 is estimated to be 5.425 billion, 6.586 billion, and 7.670 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.28%, 21.40%, and 16.46% respectively [1] Strategic Acquisition - Mixue Group plans to invest 286 million yuan to acquire 51% of Fulu Family and will also purchase 2% of the company's shares from shareholder Zhao Jie for 11.2 million yuan. Following the completion of the acquisition, Fulu Family will become a non-wholly-owned subsidiary of Mixue Group, and its financial performance will be consolidated [1] Shareholding Structure Post-Acquisition - After the acquisition, the shareholding structure will be as follows: Mixue Group will hold 53.0%, Tian Haixia 29.4%, Mailang Tongzhou 10.0%, Zhao Jie 5.4%, and Jia Rongrong 2.2% of Fulu Family [1] Market Expansion Potential - The beer industry has a large market size and consumer base, with increasing demand for high-quality and diverse products, which is expected to open up opportunities in the fresh beer market. Mixue Group, which has primarily focused on affordable tea drinks and coffee, will expand its product offerings to include fresh beer while maintaining a high-quality and affordable product positioning [1] Competitive Advantages - Mixue Group possesses multiple competitive advantages in the ready-to-drink beverage industry, including customer base, channels, supply chain, and marketing, allowing it to effectively position itself in the affordable tea drink price segment [1]