IBM(US:IBM) Ge Long Hui·2025-10-15 14:44Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report highlights the market's focus on IBM's third-quarter software business performance and the company's guidance for full-year free cash flow [1] Software Business Performance - Despite facing tougher year-over-year comparisons, organic growth in IBM's software business accelerated in the third quarter, which is seen as a positive signal [1] Free Cash Flow Guidance - Morgan Stanley expects IBM's management to reaffirm its guidance of over $13.5 billion in free cash flow for 2025, with the firm estimating it at $13.9 billion [1] - If IBM achieves approximately $2.3 billion in free cash flow for the third quarter, it would enhance market confidence in reaching the annual free cash flow expectation of $13.8 billion to $14 billion [1] Rating and Target Price - Morgan Stanley maintains a "Market Perform" rating on IBM and raises the target price to $256 [1]