SUNNY OPTICAL(HK:02382) Ge Long Hui·2025-10-15 20:56Company Overview - Sunny Optical Technology announced September shipment data: 1) Mobile optics: Camera module shipments reached 48.524 million units, up 32.0% YoY and 15.3% MoM, driven by increased customer demand. Lens shipments totaled 118 million units, down 1.0% YoY but up 1.9% MoM, mainly due to product structure adjustments. 2) Automotive-related products: Automotive lens shipments reached 11.66 million units, up 25.2% YoY and 15.8% MoM. 3) Other fields: Shipments of other lenses and optical products decreased by 20.6% YoY and 12.2% MoM, primarily related to VR demand [1]. Market Commentary - The upcoming Android stocking season has led to improved year-on-year trends in mobile optical product sales. The significant YoY increase of 32.0% in camera module shipments in September indicates a notable improvement compared to the first eight months of the year, attributed to a low base last year and earlier stocking schedules from Android customers, including Xiaomi's early launch of new models. Competitor Q Technology also reported a 40.5% YoY increase in shipments in September, likely influenced by similar factors. The YoY trend for lens shipments improved in September, mainly due to the Android stocking season and the launch of new Apple models, although the focus on high-end products has resulted in a slight YoY decline [1]. Product Strategy and Outlook - Given the company's ongoing product structure optimization strategy, it is expected that the average selling price (ASP) and gross margin for mobile optical products will improve YoY. The automotive optical market is steadily expanding, with a 23% YoY increase in automotive lens shipments from January to September, aligning with trends in the intelligent driving industry. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing number of cameras per vehicle and enhanced specifications. In the AR sector, a partnership with GoerTek has been established, which, if completed, will make Shanghai Aolai a wholly-owned subsidiary of GoerTek Optical, with Ningbo Aolai holding a 31.31% stake in GoerTek Optical, making it the second-largest shareholder. This collaboration is expected to leverage resources and accelerate the mass production of etched diffraction waveguides [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to better-than-expected sales of mobile optical products, the company's net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 4% and 6% to 3.77 billion and 4.50 billion CNY, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 21.3x for 2025 and 17.6x for 2026. The company maintains an outperform rating with a target price of 99.2 HKD, which corresponds to a P/E of 26.4x and 21.8x for 2025 and 2026, indicating a potential upside of 24.1% from the current stock price [2].