Core Viewpoint - Citigroup has initiated a positive catalyst observation for China Pacific Insurance's Q3 2025 performance, anticipating that the company's results will exceed market expectations due to frequent typhoons and high investment returns [1] Financial Performance - Citigroup expects China Pacific Insurance's combined ratio (CoR) for the first nine months of FY2025 to improve significantly by 2 percentage points year-on-year to 96.2%, which is the best performance among listed peers, with a greater improvement than the 1.5 percentage points increase seen in the first half of FY2025 [1] - The company is projected to benefit from an increased allocation in growth stocks and a strong rally in the A-share market in Q3 FY2025, leading to a forecasted net profit growth of 45% year-on-year, reaching 38.8 billion yuan, close to the market consensus estimate of 39.9 billion yuan for FY2025 [1] Investment Rating - Citigroup has assigned a "Buy" rating to China Pacific Insurance with a target price of 21.2 HKD, highlighting its best-in-class industry performance and favorable positioning in the ongoing auto insurance reform [1]
大行评级丨花旗：对中国财险第三季业绩开启正面催化观察 目标价21.2港元