UBS(US:UBS) Ge Long Hui·2025-10-20 07:29Group 1 - ETFs have seen strong inflows in October, with a total net inflow of 99.16 billion yuan as of October 17, 2023, primarily driven by equity ETFs which contributed 92.46 billion yuan, accounting for over 90% of the total [2] - Among the ETFs, 40 have net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with significant interest in gold and Hang Seng Technology ETFs, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment towards these sectors [2] - Gold ETFs linked to SGE gold 9999 saw a combined net inflow of 19.99 billion yuan in October, driven by rising gold prices, while Hang Seng Technology ETFs attracted 11.48 billion yuan as investors sought to capitalize on market corrections [2] Group 2 - The number of newly established funds in 2023 has reached 1,163, surpassing the total for 2024, indicating a robust recovery in the fund market, with stock funds making up 661 of these, representing 37.45% of total issuance [3] - Short-term outlook for Hong Kong stocks suggests a volatile market, but potential positive factors such as advancements in AI and easing of US-China trade tensions could drive future growth [3] - UBS has upgraded its rating on global stock markets to "attractive," citing expected increases in productivity from AI spending and favorable policy environments, with a forecast for global earnings growth to rise from 6.5% to 8% [4] Group 3 - Bridgewater's perspective on gold suggests that without retail investor participation, gold prices above $4,000 may face demand challenges, despite strong inflows from Western high-net-worth investors [5] - The firm estimates that central bank demand could support gold prices between $3,000 and $3,500, but prices above $4,000 may not be sustainable without broader market participation [5] - Deutsche Bank analysts project that as gold prices rise, its share in global reserves has increased from 24% to 30%, indicating a shift in asset allocation among investors [5]