Cambricon(SH:688256) 2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-10-20 23:57Core Viewpoint - The recent quarterly report of Cambrian (688256.SH) shows significant growth in revenue and net profit, indicating a strong performance driven by the expanding AI ecosystem and market demand [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - Cambrian reported a single-quarter revenue of 1.727 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1332.52%, and a net profit of 566 million yuan, up 390.23% [2]. - For the first three quarters, Cambrian achieved a revenue of 4.607 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2386.38%, and a net profit of 1.604 billion yuan, up 320.19% [3]. - The company attributed its growth to continuous market expansion and support for AI application implementation [4]. Inventory and Cash Flow - As of the end of the third quarter, Cambrian's inventory reached 3.729 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 267.33%, indicating proactive stockpiling in anticipation of order growth [4]. - The operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow of -29 million yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 98.38% [5]. Market Drivers - The surge in AI computing power demand is a primary driver, with major global tech companies increasing their capital expenditures on AI hardware [7]. - Domestic giants like Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance are also raising their capital expenditures for computing infrastructure [8]. - The acceleration of domestic alternatives due to U.S. export controls on AI chips is another significant factor [8][9]. Product and Funding Advantages - Cambrian has a diverse product line, including various intelligent processors and cloud-based acceleration cards, supporting a wide range of AI tasks across multiple industries [10]. - The company secured 3.985 billion yuan in funding for hardware development and software ecosystem construction, enhancing its financial position [10]. Valuation and Market Sentiment - Goldman Sachs maintains an optimistic outlook for Cambrian, with a target price of 2104 yuan, suggesting over 60% upside potential from the current market valuation [2]. - Cambrian's stock price reached a historical high of 1595.88 yuan per share, reflecting strong market enthusiasm [13]. Customer Concentration Risk - The concentration of sales among the top five customers is increasing, with their share rising from 84.94% in 2022 to 94.63% in 2024, indicating heightened dependency [11]. - A significant portion of revenue is reliant on a single largest customer, which poses a risk to revenue stability [12].