AGRICULTURAL BANK OF CHINA(SH:601288) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-23 03:40Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a contraction in trading volume, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3913.76 points, down 0.07% [2] - The total trading volume reached 1.69 trillion yuan, a decrease of 10.7% from the previous day, indicating cautious market sentiment [2] Market Analysis - The energy sector led the gains, with the energy equipment index rising by 2.44% and the oil and gas index increasing by 1.37% [4] - The banking index rose by 0.93%, driven by low valuations and high dividend characteristics, with Agricultural Bank of China hitting a new historical high [4] - Precious metals saw a significant decline, with the precious metals index dropping by 2.49% due to a sharp fall in international gold prices [4] - The market sentiment remains cautious, with a recommendation to maintain a balanced allocation strategy [4] Bond Market - The bond market maintained a strong performance, with the 30-year main contract TL2512 closing at 115.61 yuan, up 0.10% [6] - The central bank conducted a 1382 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, indicating a relatively loose liquidity environment [6] - The market is expected to remain strong, influenced by macroeconomic catalysts such as the upcoming Fourth Plenary Session and U.S. Federal Reserve meetings [7] Commodity Market - The commodity market showed significant volatility, with energy and chemical sectors performing strongly while precious metals faced sharp declines [8] - International gold prices fell sharply, with a drop of over 350 dollars per ounce from recent highs, influenced by geopolitical developments and upcoming U.S. CPI data [8] - Oil prices rebounded due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with expectations of continued volatility in the oil market [9] Trading Hotspots - Recent popular sectors include central bank policies, market style shifts, and advancements in technology sectors such as artificial intelligence and nuclear fusion [10] - The focus on consumer sectors is driven by the appreciation of the yuan and market style transitions [11] Core Thoughts Summary - The equity market shows a cautious outlook with a recommendation for balanced allocation, while the bond market benefits from a loose liquidity environment [12] - Precious metals may present new long-term opportunities following recent price adjustments, with expectations of further fluctuations during the Fed's easing cycle [12]