Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's potential shift from a prolonged balance sheet reduction to a new round of quantitative easing is expected to significantly impact the macroeconomy and alter investment styles and preferences in global capital markets. Group 1: Company Overview - Xuyang Group (01907) is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity due to its strong competitiveness in the fine chemicals and coke sectors, particularly as the industry enters a new cycle following a period of low domestic demand for coke [1]. - The company has expanded its operational management service model, achieving high-quality scale expansion through a light-asset approach, and has added 2.6 million tons/year of new managed projects in Shanxi and Jilin [2]. - Xuyang Group's operational scale now includes 8 projects with a total capacity of 7 million tons/year for coke and 660,000 tons/year for chemicals, achieving a business volume of 4.5 million tons [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The investment value of cyclical sectors is approaching a re-evaluation point, with signs of improvement in the coal market, particularly in coke prices, which have seen a recent increase of 50-75 yuan/ton due to rising demand and raw material costs [3]. - The domestic demand is expected to recover, driven by a higher-level "anti-involution" initiative, which is likely to positively impact upstream and midstream sectors, potentially leading to an earlier performance turnaround for Xuyang Group [3]. - Anticipated structural and industry-specific policies from high-level meetings may positively influence cyclical sectors, although the market has yet to fully price in these potential benefits for leading companies like Xuyang Group [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - With the Federal Reserve likely to initiate a rate-cutting cycle, the subsequent global monetary easing is expected to have profound implications for effective demand stimulation, benefiting cyclical industries such as coke and chemicals [4]. - Xuyang Group has achieved historical highs in both coke and chemical new materials business volumes in the first half of the year, indicating successful transformation towards service-oriented manufacturing and ongoing global strategic expansion [4]. - The company is positioned to experience a "reversal of the investment clock" as market conditions improve, supported by robust fundamentals and growth potential [5].
从蓄力到发力，重估“全能”旭阳集团的投资价值