Zhongtai Securities(SH:600918) Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-10-25 01:37Core Viewpoint - The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee emphasizes the importance of achieving high-quality economic development and outlines specific guidelines for economic and financial reforms during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [3][4]. Economic Goals and Policies - The session highlights the need to stabilize employment, businesses, markets, and expectations to maintain the economic foundation and support the recovery momentum [3][4]. - Macro policies are expected to continue to exert force and be adjusted as necessary, with a focus on implementing enterprise support policies and boosting consumption [3][7]. Internal and External Environment - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is characterized by complex changes in the development environment, with both strategic opportunities and risks present [4][5]. - The external environment is increasingly challenging due to factors such as rising tariffs from the U.S. and restrictions on high-tech exports, necessitating a focus on self-reliance in technology and strengthening supply chain security [4][5][6]. Monetary Policy - The monetary policy is set to remain "moderately loose," with an emphasis on maintaining liquidity and supporting economic growth through targeted measures [7][8]. - Future monetary policy will focus on precise actions, including potential interest rate cuts and structural tools to support innovation and small businesses [8][9]. Policy Coordination - There will be a coordinated approach between fiscal and monetary policies to avoid excessive tightening or loosening, ensuring stability and continuity in financial policies during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [9]. - The necessity for new growth-stabilizing policies is anticipated, particularly in the fourth quarter, with a focus on fiscal support and monetary easing to stabilize the real estate market [9].