FINANCIAL STREET(SZ:000402) 2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-10-27 10:13Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Financial Street Forum highlights the resilience of global trade amidst challenges such as the pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and rising protectionism, driven by technological advancements and open cooperation [1][2]. Group 1: Global Trade Growth - Global trade is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.4% from 2019 to 2024, an increase of 4.6 percentage points compared to the previous five years [1]. - The United Nations forecasts global trade to exceed $33 trillion in 2023, marking a historical high [1]. - The semiconductor trade has seen significant growth, with annual trade in integrated circuits surpassing $1 trillion [1]. Group 2: Technological and Economic Drivers - The new wave of technological revolution and industrial transformation is injecting new momentum into global trade, with AI and digital economy playing crucial roles [1]. - Green trade has rapidly emerged, with annual trade in new energy increasing from $10 billion a decade ago to nearly $100 billion in recent years [1]. Group 3: China's Role in Global Trade - China, as the world's second-largest economy and largest goods trader, contributes significantly to global economic resilience and trade rules [2]. - The country maintains stability in global supply chains and actively shares market opportunities [2]. - China's foreign exchange market transactions are projected to grow by 37% in 2024 compared to 2020, with foreign-related income and expenditure increasing by 64% [3]. Group 4: Foreign Exchange Policy and Reforms - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) plans to introduce nine new policy measures to enhance trade facilitation and expand cross-border trade [4]. - SAFE aims to deepen reforms in foreign exchange management, focusing on direct investment, cross-border financing, and securities investment [4]. - The implementation of a comprehensive foreign exchange management reform in pilot free trade zones is expected to promote new levels of openness [4]. Group 5: Risk Management and Regulatory Enhancements - SAFE emphasizes improving foreign exchange regulatory capabilities and risk prevention through a dual management approach combining macro-prudential and micro-regulation [5]. - The use of AI and big data will enhance monitoring and early warning systems for cross-border capital flows, aiming to mitigate external risks [5].