ETO Markets出入金分析：美国经济隐忧下的消费者信心指数新低

Group 1 - The consumer confidence index in the U.S. fell to 94.6 in October, marking a three-month decline and the lowest level since April this year, indicating growing public concern about the economic outlook and job market [1] - A key indicator measuring consumer expectations regarding income, business, and labor market short-term outlook dropped to 71.5, the lowest since June, suggesting potential recession signals if it remains below 80 [3] - Despite a slight improvement in the perception of the current job market, the number of people finding it difficult to secure jobs has increased, highlighting structural imbalances in the employment market [3] Group 2 - Recent inflation data remains concerning, with rising gasoline prices pushing overall price levels up, while rental costs have decreased, creating an uneven economic landscape [4] - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates again this week, marking the second rate cut of the year as policymakers seek to balance inflation control and employment support [5] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by only 22,000 in August, continuing a trend of weak job growth, with downward revisions in previous months indicating a slowdown influenced by prior rate hikes and trade policy uncertainties [6] Group 3 - Several large companies have announced layoffs as part of their market adjustment strategies, including Amazon planning to cut approximately 14,000 jobs, Target reducing about 1,800 positions, and Meta laying off around 600 employees [7] - These layoffs reflect companies' efforts to adapt to economic uncertainties through structural adjustments and business transformations [7] Group 4 - The stability and recovery of consumer confidence require a combination of factors, including sustained inflation moderation, robust employment market performance, and reduced policy uncertainties [9] - The upcoming months' economic data will provide clearer direction as the Federal Reserve adjusts its monetary policy and companies continue their strategic transformations [9]