张德芹仓促退场，“老茅台人”为何救不了茅台？

Core Viewpoint - The frequent leadership changes at Kweichow Moutai reflect deeper strategic challenges and growth dilemmas faced by the company during a period of industry transformation [3][5]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - Kweichow Moutai has experienced its fourth leadership change in five years, with Chen Hua replacing Zhang Deqin as chairman [3]. - Zhang Deqin's tenure lasted only 545 days, marking the shortest term in recent years, highlighting instability within the company's leadership [3][6]. - The reasons behind Zhang's departure remain unclear, but it is evident that this is not a routine leadership transition [3][5]. Group 2: Strategic Dilemmas - Moutai is caught in a strategic dilemma, trying to maintain its luxury brand image while also appealing to the mass market [4]. - The company has been engaging in scarcity marketing to uphold its luxury status, exemplified by the launch of a commemorative product priced at 7,000 yuan, which quickly sold out and saw a secondary market price surge to 20,000 yuan [4]. - Simultaneously, Moutai has attempted to penetrate the mass market with lower-priced products, such as "Taiyuan Wine," which faced significant inventory issues and was ultimately discontinued [4]. Group 3: Market Challenges - Moutai's dual identity as a market-driven company and a key fiscal pillar for Guizhou Province creates conflicting pressures, complicating its growth strategy [5]. - The company faces challenges from changing consumer behaviors, including a decline in business banquets and gift-giving, which have historically supported Moutai's pricing power [7]. - The price of its flagship product, Flying Moutai, has dropped from 2,780 yuan to 1,755 yuan, reflecting a more than 30% decline, alongside a 10% drop in Moutai's stock price [7]. Group 4: Future Leadership and Strategy - The new chairman, Chen Hua, is tasked with addressing Moutai's core challenges, including the need to reshape its pricing strategy and channel dynamics [9]. - Chen's background in practical economic operations and enterprise management positions him to navigate the complexities of market demands and policy directions [9]. - The company must decide between broad expansion and focused value cultivation, as its current strategy of full-price and full-scenario expansion shows signs of fatigue [10].