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海澜之家赴港IPO谋破局:百亿库存压顶,年轻化转型陷僵局

Core Viewpoint - The leading men's apparel brand, HLA (海澜之家), has announced its plan to issue H shares and list in Hong Kong, aiming to deepen its global presence and create a diversified capital platform, while facing challenges such as a sluggish domestic market, high inventory, and brand aging [1] Group 1: Global Expansion and Performance - As of June 2025, HLA has established 111 overseas stores in Southeast Asia, with overseas market growth of 27.42% year-on-year, significantly outpacing the domestic growth of 1.35% [3] - Despite the overseas expansion, overseas revenue has consistently accounted for less than 2% of total revenue, raising doubts about the effectiveness of its globalization strategy [3] - HLA's revenue has fluctuated between 17.9 billion and 21.5 billion from 2020 to 2024, with net profit showing a pattern of alternating growth and decline [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Dividend Policy - In 2025, HLA reported a slight revenue increase of 1.73% and a net profit decline of 3.42%, despite being expected to be a growth year [3] - Since its backdoor listing in 2014, HLA has distributed a total of 21.1 billion in dividends, with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 70%, reaching 91.22% in 2024 [3] - The founder's family, holding 45.75% of shares, has received approximately 9.722 billion in dividends, raising concerns about the company's high dividend and low retention policy [3] Group 3: Industry Challenges - The domestic men's apparel industry is experiencing collective growth anxiety, with only 4 out of 15 listed companies achieving revenue growth in the first half of 2025 [4] - E-commerce channels are struggling, with HLA's highest-selling item during the Double 11 shopping festival having only over 9,000 buyers, indicating a decline in core product sales [4] - HLA's inventory reached 10.255 billion as of June 2025, with inventory turnover days increasing from 263 to 322 days, reflecting challenges in its asset-light model [4] Group 4: Brand and Market Positioning - HLA's young transformation led by the second-generation leader, Zhou Licheng, has not yielded significant results, with only 10% of revenue coming from new brands despite substantial marketing investments [5] - The brand's image among Generation Z remains stagnant, with new sub-brands like "Black Whale" struggling to gain traction in the market [5] - The company's ongoing challenges of inventory pressure, operational constraints, and brand aging cannot be resolved merely through a listing, indicating a longer path ahead for transformation [5]