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方正证券:医药生物业新一轮上行已经开始 重视早研CRO产业外包新趋势

Group 1: Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is entering a new upward cycle, with accelerated overseas orders and strong upward momentum, particularly for companies with strong overseas capabilities in the upstream biological sector [1] - The early-stage CRO (Contract Research Organization) industry is experiencing a significant development opportunity, driven by the historical chance for innovative drugs to expand internationally [1] Group 2: Early-stage CRO - The early-stage CRO industry is seeing a shift towards domestic advantages in quality, efficiency, and cost, as overseas demand for early-stage research increases [1] - The demand for preclinical and safety evaluation orders is gradually recovering, with a recommendation to focus on leading companies such as Yino Science and Zhaoyan New Drug [1] - The supply-demand mismatch for experimental monkeys is expected to persist, leading to stable prices in the short term [1] Group 3: Upstream Biological Products - The domestic biological sector is recovering quickly, with significant growth expected in biological reagents, including culture media and recombinant proteins, driven by the structural recovery from domestic innovative drug exports [2] - The overseas market presents vast opportunities, and domestic brands are favored for their cost-effectiveness, suggesting a focus on companies with overseas capabilities such as Baipusais and Haoyuan Pharmaceutical [2] Group 4: Clinical CRO - The clinical CRO sector is approaching a turning point, with SMO (Site Management Organization) orders showing early signs of recovery [3] - As innovative drug financing improves, the number of clinical projects is expected to increase, leading to a recovery in overall orders [3] - Leading clinical CRO companies such as Tigermed and Nossger are recommended for investment [3] Group 5: CDMO - The CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) sector is showing strong performance, particularly in the peptide and ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugate) segments, which are expected to maintain high growth rates [4] - New molecular tracks, including small nucleic acids, also present significant long-term development potential [4] - Recommended CDMO leaders include Kelaiying and WuXi AppTec, which are expected to show performance elasticity due to stable small molecule business and rapid growth in new molecular business [4]