BUD APAC(HK:01876) Ge Long Hui·2025-10-31 07:50Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that Budweiser APAC's Q3 revenue and adjusted EBITDA were $1.555 billion and $438 million, representing year-on-year declines of 8.8% and 8.6%, respectively, which were below the bank's expectations by 1% to 3% but generally in line with market expectations [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue was $1.555 billion, down 8.8% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $438 million, down 8.6% year-on-year [1] Earnings Forecast - UBS has lowered Budweiser APAC's earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 7% to 9% due to the ongoing weakness in the Chinese market and limited visibility for Q4 [1] - The expected recovery is now anticipated to be delayed until 2026 [1] Investment Rating - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for Budweiser APAC, citing the ongoing premiumization in household channels, attractive valuations, and robust cash reserves that support stable dividends through 2025 [1] - The target price has been reduced from HKD 9.07 to HKD 8.75 [1]