三季报增速放缓?技术壁垒难掩锦波生物商业化焦虑

Core Viewpoint - The commercialization of Jinbo Biotechnology (832982.BJ) remains a significant issue as the company faces industry-wide challenges, with growth rates slowing down despite maintaining revenue and profit increases [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.296 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 568 million yuan, up 9.29% [2]. - The company's revenue growth has significantly slowed compared to previous years, with the first half of 2024 showing the lowest growth rates in nearly five years [3]. - In Q3 2024, revenue grew by 13.36%, but the net profit excluding non-recurring items decreased by 16.72%, and net cash flow fell by 8.05% year-on-year [3]. Product Performance - The performance of the company's flagship product, Wei Yimei, which is the only approved Class III recombinant collagen injection in China, is declining, contributing 645 million yuan in revenue in the first half of 2024, a growth rate drop of over 70 percentage points [4]. - Conversely, the functional skincare product segment is emerging, generating 121 million yuan in revenue in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 152.39%, although its contribution to overall performance remains limited due to its smaller scale [4]. Market Dynamics - The company's stock price has experienced significant volatility, peaking at 577.50 yuan per share with a market cap exceeding 50 billion yuan, but later falling to 251.28 yuan per share and a market cap of 28.91 billion yuan, reflecting market re-evaluation of its growth logic [6][5]. - The industry is witnessing a collective slowdown, with competitors like Huaxi Biotechnology and Juzi Biotechnology also facing challenges, indicating a broader adjustment phase in the collagen market [2]. Strategic Adjustments - Jinbo Biotechnology possesses significant advantages in raw materials and technology, particularly with its recombinant human collagen technology, which has been validated through regulatory approvals [7]. - The company has historically focused on B2B pharmaceutical and medical device development, neglecting brand building and channel expansion in the consumer market [8]. - Recently, the company has begun to shift its strategy towards the consumer market, with initiatives such as collaborating with key opinion leaders and launching brand promotional campaigns [9]. - The ability to balance capital expectations with industry realities while establishing a consumer brand matrix will be crucial for the company's future growth [9].