Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the profit forecast for Greentown Management Holdings (09979) for 2025 and 2026, with a target price of HKD 3.2, corresponding to a 12x P/E ratio for 2025 and an expected dividend yield of 8% [1] Group 1: Project Performance - The Guihu Yuncui project highlights the company's core competitiveness, achieving a cumulative sales rate of 65% since its opening in December 2024, with price increases on subsequent launches [2] - Greentown Management was selected as the construction agent by China Great Wall Asset, demonstrating its ability to coordinate complex stakeholder interests and regain buyer trust [2] Group 2: Operational Trends - The company reported a 19% year-on-year increase in new contract value for the first half of 2025, reaching CNY 5 billion, with expectations for continued positive momentum throughout the year [3] - The ratio of operating cash flow to net profit improved to 44% in the first half of 2025, up from 15% in the same period last year, indicating a positive trend that is expected to continue into the second half of 2025 [3] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - Following the mid-term earnings release, the company has repurchased 10 million shares, representing 0.5% of its total share capital, and the CEO has increased his stake by purchasing 500,000 shares [4] - The company is expected to maintain a dividend per share comparable to 2024, implying a dividend yield of 8.7% for 2025, supported by improved cash collection [4]
中金：维持绿城管理控股跑赢行业评级 目标价3.2港元