老铺黄金反弹近4% 产品涨价及近期金价下跌 有望部分抵消黄金税收新政影响

Core Viewpoint - The reduction of the VAT rate for non-investment gold producers in China from 13% to 6% is expected to lower the direct profit margin risks for Lao Poo Gold, enhancing its market position and attractiveness to consumers [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Lao Poo Gold's stock rebounded nearly 4%, trading at 631 HKD with a transaction volume of 446 million HKD [1] - The company raised prices significantly at the end of October, which, combined with a 3% decline in gold prices since then, is anticipated to provide a buffer against profit margin pressures [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The general increase in gold jewelry prices may enhance the appeal of Lao Poo Gold's products, potentially encouraging consumers to purchase gold jewelry in advance [1] - UBS indicated that while short-term demand for Lao Poo Gold and Chow Tai Fook may face pressure, both companies are expected to further consolidate the market in the long term [1] Group 3: Profit Margin Implications - Assuming the VAT rebate rate decreases from 13% to 6%, Lao Poo Gold's gross margin is estimated to face a pressure of 3 to 4 percentage points [1] - The company’s recent price increase of over 20% may help offset some of the margin pressure, while Chow Tai Fook has also raised the prices of its weighted gold products by 5%, passing the margin pressure onto consumers [1]