CATL(SZ:300750) Ge Long Hui·2025-11-05 09:45Core Insights - The A-share market demonstrates resilience despite a general decline, with strong performance in the new energy sector, particularly in energy storage and battery ETFs [1][2] - The energy storage and battery industry is undergoing a historic revaluation, transitioning from a cyclical industry to a core asset with long-term strategic value due to its essential role in AI power support and energy security [4] Industry Performance - Energy storage battery ETF (159566) increased by 4.74%, while the new energy ETF (516090) rose by 3.2%. Year-to-date, the energy storage battery ETF has surged by 66.79%, and the new energy ETF has grown by 51.04% [2] - The global energy storage market is experiencing explosive growth, with lithium battery storage installations reaching 170 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 68% [5] AI and Energy Demand - The demand for energy storage systems is becoming critical for the stability of AI data centers, with projections indicating that by 2026, AI data centers will contribute an additional 34 GWh of demand to the U.S. energy storage market [5] - The energy consumption of global data centers is expected to rise significantly, with estimates of 1,800 TWh in 2025 and potentially reaching 2,800 TWh by 2030 [5] Policy and Market Support - China's government is actively promoting the integration of AI and energy, with clear goals set for the development of "AI + energy" until 2030 [6] - The new "14th Five-Year Plan" includes new energy storage as a strategic emerging industry, targeting an installed capacity of approximately 150 GW by 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate of over 25% [13] Company Performance - Leading companies in the energy storage sector, such as Sungrow Power Supply and CATL, are experiencing significant growth, with Sungrow's revenue reaching 66.402 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.05% [10] - CATL's energy storage battery revenue has increased significantly, with a gross margin higher than that of power batteries, reflecting the sector's robust performance [10] Investment Trends - There is a noticeable shift in market focus from pure AI concepts to tangible AI infrastructure, with energy storage becoming a key area of investment [10] - Public funds have increased their allocation to the energy storage sector, with a net inflow of 5.39 billion yuan into the energy storage battery ETF over the past 20 days [11] Valuation and Growth Potential - The energy storage sector is characterized by higher certainty and clearer business models compared to other emerging tech sectors, with current P/E ratios ranging from 20 to 25 times [16][18] - The average PEG ratio for the energy storage sector is approximately 0.8-1.2, indicating attractive valuation levels compared to the AI computing sector [18] Conclusion - The new energy and energy storage industries are at a historic turning point, benefiting from both the energy revolution and the digital revolution, which provides them with unique growth certainty [19][20] - Regardless of the future evolution of AI, the demand for reliable power will remain, positioning new energy and storage companies as key players in the future energy landscape [21]