1800亿央企铝巨头罕见涨停，股价创15年新高

Core Viewpoint - The aluminum sector in China is experiencing a significant surge, with China Aluminum's stock hitting a 15-year high, driven by a systemic rise in aluminum stocks and favorable market conditions [1][3][4]. Company Performance - China Aluminum's stock price reached 10.86 CNY, marking a new high since 2011, with over 2.2 million buy orders on November 6 [1]. - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of this year showed a slight increase, with a net profit of 10.872 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 21% [9]. - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 17.3%, up by 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, with a notable increase in the third quarter to 18.4% [10][11]. Market Dynamics - The aluminum sector has seen a "high-low switch" in market sentiment, with funds flowing into aluminum stocks as other sectors like precious metals and rare earths faced declines [4][19]. - The aluminum industry index rose by 5.06%, outperforming other sectors, indicating a shift in investor preference towards aluminum stocks [3]. Historical Context - Over the past 15 years, China Aluminum has reached similar stock price levels twice, in April 2015 and September 2021, but the current market conditions are supported by both market sentiment and industry dynamics [6]. - The company is expected to exceed its historical net profit high of 12.4 billion CNY in 2024, with current forecasts suggesting annual profits could reach 14 billion CNY or more [12]. Comparative Analysis - Historically, aluminum stocks have been undervalued compared to other sectors, with some trading at price-to-earnings ratios below 10 [4][14]. - The aluminum sector's performance has lagged behind other metal sectors, with a year-to-date increase of only 35.39% compared to over 69% for other segments [16][19].