中金:维持大麦娱乐(01060)跑赢行业评级 目标价1.32港元

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains its revenue and profit forecasts for the full year, with a target price of HKD 1.32, indicating a potential upside of 40% from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit of no less than 500 million yuan for the first half of FY26, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 48% [1] - The forecast for Non-IFRS EBITA for FY1H26 is 537 million yuan [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The strong performance of the Aliyu business is a key driver of the profit increase, with significant growth in revenue and profit attributed to popular IPs such as Sanrio, Chiikawa, and Crayon Shin-chan [2] - The company predicts a 55% year-on-year increase in derivative income to 930 million yuan for FY1H26, despite the negative impact from the closure of Jinli Naju [2] Group 3: Strategic Investments - The company has a solid cash reserve and plans to diversify investments in the entertainment industry, including local cultural tourism, sports events, and small to medium-sized productions [3] - A three-year strategic cooperation agreement has been renewed with Galaxy Macau, indicating a commitment to stable ticketing operations and potential growth in overseas markets [3] Group 4: Risk Management - The increase in net profit for FY1H26 is also attributed to a reduction in investment portfolio risk exposure, with a controlled risk outlook for upcoming film productions [4]